Tuesday 26 February 2013

Why fix the LIBOR?

The LIBOR has, quite clearly, a substantial effect on the wider economy but why did banks feel the need to fix it? This is of particular relevance as despite banks quoting a particular price they easily could lend at a different rate yet evidently they found it vital.

The period of ‘irrational exuberance’ which led up to the current crisis saw the beginnings of noticeable fixing of the LIBOR rate. Kregal, 2012, claims that there were two stages to the fixing process; the first occurring in the midst of the boom whilst the second began as a result of the bust. This analysis is quite intriguing as it suggests that the initial phase was born out of greed while in comparison the second was due to the breakdown of the short term money markets. The LIBOR is inextricably linked to the US derivatives market acting as a benchmark for transactions occurring within it. Therefore, if fixed it can make the manipulator a fortune. Snider and Youley, 2010, find evidence to suggest that the structure of a bank’s portfolio, and in particular its involvement with derivatives, impacted its calling of the interest rate. What is particularly striking is that, as Choy, Shung, Chng, 2012 comment, in the US it is a federal offence to manipulate the derivatives markets yet this did little to deter the interference.

In recent times, a more rational reason for fixing has evolved. The fear of bank panics, heightened after the bank run on Northern Rock. The subsequent failure of other banks which were often spouted to be as a direct result of bank panics rather than problematic banks, instilled fear in many banks' management. Therefore it is not illogical for banks to decide to portray their LIBOR as far lower than the actual cost at which they were willing to lend. In fact, as Hortacsu, and Kastl, 2009, point out, lending in the interbank market at the height of the crisis was minimal, therefore, the LIBOR was realistically futile.

 
 
The phrase financial liberalisation or deregulation has become synonymous with the Great Crash. The LIBOR could be seen as the very characterisation of this policy. A simple definition of the LIBOR may be termed as banks deciding the interest rate at which to lend to other banks whilst being regulated by a bankers’ association. To those new to the concept, now that the era of deregulation is behind us, this concept must appear strange. It illustrates the power banks had at the beginning of the 21stcentury. This presents the questions; had the crash not happened would it have been allowed to continue? Did banks fix the rate because they knew they could?